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Western Pokémon toys circana perimeter and noncard share of merch, 2025

2025

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

What this is

Circana's toy perimeter counts Pokémon cards, so the card part sits in cards and only the non-card part sits in licensee merchandise. Europe Pokémon toys ex-VAT €1,050.9–1,395.1m and τ 0.6–0.85 at EURUSD 1.13–1.17.

The values

  • US toy property incl cards: $2.5bn
  • Europe toys ex VAT: $1.19–1.63bn
  • West toys incl cards: $3.69–4.13bn
  • US noncard: $0.28–1bn
  • Europe noncard: $0.18–0.65bn
  • West noncard: $0.46–1.65bn

Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  1. Europe €1,050.9m×1.13 = $1.19bn
  2. €1,395.1m×1.17 = $1.63bn
  3. non-card €1,050.9m×0.15×1.13 = $0.18bn to €1,395.1m×0.40×1.17 = $0.65bn
  4. 0.46/13.48 = 3.4%
  5. 1.65/11.42 = 14.5%

Related figures

Built from this one