What this is
Estimated retail value of licensed Pokémon merchandise, excluding cards and video games, sold in The Pokémon Company International’s territories in 2025: about ¥1,710–2,020bn ($11.4–13.5bn).
How it’s built
- Start from License Global’s $15.7bn, converted at ¥149.57 per dollar: ¥2,348bn.
- Take out the company’s own cards sold in its territories, valued at list price: ¥227–490bn.
- Take out video games, $0.7–1.0bn (¥105–150bn).
What we assumed
- The $15.7bn covers the company’s territories and includes its own cards and games.The figure’s scope is undefined; the company’s profile hints that cards are inside. If they are not, nothing should be deducted.
- Asian markets take 10–30% of cards printed outside Japan.The research gives no direct split; this range sets how many cards are deducted.
- Cards outside Japan are worth the US booster price, times 1.0–1.3.The uplift allows for pricier products; it ties to the card-spend estimate elsewhere.
- Games account for $0.7–1.0bn.A working range in the research, not a disclosed figure.
Sanity check
Everything rests on a company-submitted, undefined figure, less modelled deductions. It is 55–68% of the research’s whole franchise consumer-spend estimate.
Where it comes from
Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:
- EstimateEstimated value at list price of new Pokémon cards bought worldwide in the year to February 2026¥493–680bn
- EstimateAsia excluding japan parity card line sensitivity, year to February 2026
- EstimateEstimated royalty income The Pokémon Company earned from Western licensed merchandise in 2025
- EstimateEstimated total consumer spending on new Pokémon products, at list price, in the year to February 2026
- EstimateLicensed retail split TPC royalty against licensees against retailers, 2025 LG ↔ TPC year to February 2026
- EstimateJpy per usd fiscal period average from calendar years, year to March 2018-year to March 2026; year to February 2021-year to February 2026; 2020-2025
Show the working
- Merch: ¥1,708–2,017bn
- Merch: $11.4–13.5bn
- TPCi territory cards deducted: ¥227–490bn
- Games deducted: ¥105–150bn
- Share of total: 55.1 to 67.5%
- Width: ¥308bn
- 2,348.2 − 0.9×544.8 − 149.6 = 1,708.4
- 2,348.2 − 0.7×324.1 − 104.7 = 2,016.7
Where it’s used
Related figures
Built from this one
- EstimateHow much of the $15.7bn that The Pokémon Company International reported to License Global for 2025 is licensed merchandise
- EstimateWestern Pokémon toys circana perimeter and noncard share of merch, 2025
- EstimateCard game IN sensitivity if row holds cards at sell in, 2025 ≈ TPC year to February 2026
- EstimateWhat Q67 moves: hobby s, blended s, residual (, -6, -8), year to February 2025-year to February 2026