What this is
How much of the $15.7bn that The Pokémon Company International reported to License Global for 2025 is licensed merchandise: about 73–86% if the trading card game is counted inside the figure, and all of it if it is not.
How it’s built
- Start from the reported $15.7bn of licensed retail sales.
- If cards are inside it, take out our estimate of Pokémon cards sold at list in its territory and an allowance of $0.7–1.0bn for games; what is left is $11.4–13.5bn of merchandise, or 73–86% of the figure.
- If cards are not inside it, the whole figure is merchandise.
What we assumed
- Which scope the company used is unknown; the cards-in reading is treated as the better evidenced one.It has never said what its figure includes, but a trade profile files the card game under its toys and collectibles category.
- Asia makes up 10–30% of card sales outside Japan, so it is not deducted from its Western figure.The License Global figure belongs to the US arm, whose territory excludes Asia.
Sanity check
Even at the low end, merchandise is about three-quarters of the reported figure, so the conclusion that it is most of the number holds on either reading.
The value
- LG row 2025: $15.7bn
Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.
Where it comes from
Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:
- ReportedRetail sales of licensed Pokémon products in 2025 as listed for The Pokémon Company International in License Global’s ranking$15.7bn
- EstimateEstimated retail value of licensed Pokémon merchandise, excluding cards and video games, sold in The Pokémon Company International’s territories in 202555–68%
- EstimateLicensed retail split TPC royalty against licensees against retailers, 2025 LG ↔ TPC year to February 2026
- EstimateEstimated royalty income The Pokémon Company earned from Western licensed merchandise in 2025
- EstimateFranchise primary consumer spend row scope alternatives and gap, TPC year to February 2026 (Mar 2025–Feb 2026) ≈ Nintendo year to March 2026; 2025 for License Global and Circana
- EstimateWestern Pokémon toys circana perimeter and noncard share of merch, 2025
Show the working
- TCG-IN 11.42/15.7=72.7% to 13.48/15.7=85.9%
- TCG-OUT 100%
- long tail [9.77, 13.02] / [14.05, 15.24]