How it’s built
- Japan's card category at list price (¥338.4bn) times Pokémon's share of it (about 48%) gives Pokémon's Japanese retail sales.
- Divided by an average list price of about ¥34 per Japanese card, that is about 4.8 billion cards.
- The rest of the 10 billion, about 5.2 billion, were sold outside Japan.
- Japanese retail sales times the share that reaches TPC after shops and wholesalers (about 62%) gives about ¥100.7bn.
What we assumed
- Pokémon's share of the Japanese card category stays near 48%.That is its measured share in the last year with a published brand ranking; no later ranking exists.
- A Japanese card lists at about ¥33–36.Taken from the list prices of the main Japanese booster and box products.
- About 62% of list price reaches TPC in Japan.Wholesalers and shops together keep about 38%, from the channel study of Japanese trade terms.
Sanity check
Every input is a range; the low and high corners give Japanese card revenue between about ¥93bn and ¥110bn.
Where it comes from
Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:
- ReportedAbout 10 billion Pokémon cards were produced in the year to March 202610 billion cards
- EstimateJapan cards cross check media create, Media Create FY2023 -> TPC year to February 2024; roll-forward to TPC year to February 2026 = JTA 年度2025e
- EstimateLine merch licensing west period corrected, TPC year to February 2026 = 10/12 2025 + 2/12 2026 (stub at 2025 run-rate)¥141.3bn
- EstimateAn estimate of The Pokémon Company's licensing income from merchandise in Japan and Asia for the year to February 2026¥30bn
Show the working
- Card line: ¥286,083–406,748m
- Card line point: ¥351,387m
- Japan cards bn: 3.76 to 5.17
- Japan cards point bn: 4.78
- Rest of world cards bn: 4.83 to 6.24
- Rest of world cards point bn: 5.22
- Python, one 10.0bn-card pool on 's share 0.40-0.50 (point 0.48)
- Japan cards = 338,414 x share / ¥32.7-36 per card: point 338,414 x 0.48 / 34 = 4.78bn
- yen = 338,414 x 0.48 x 0.62 = 100,712
- Rest of worl..
Where it’s used
Related figures
Built from this one
- EstimateEstimated value at list price of new Pokémon cards bought worldwide in the year to February 2026¥493–680bn
- EstimateAn estimate of The Pokémon Company’s worldwide card revenue, year to February 2026
- EstimateAn estimate of 2025 Pokémon card sales in North America and Europe from print volume, at US list prices$1.41–2.59bn
- EstimateCards at list coupled print band, TPC year to February 2026 ≈ JTA 年度2025e; print year to March 2026
- EstimatePure licensor counterfactual card publisher profit corrected, TPC year to February 2026 card line (point ¥375bn)112,500 to 157,500 ¥ million
- EstimateRequirement test for card line 286 407, TPC year to February 2026