What this is
Red-team recomputation of with Japan and ex-Japan card volumes coupled through the one 10.0bn-card print : Japan cards = JTA × share ÷ ¥ per card (¥32.7–36, point ¥34), ex-Japan = 10.0 − Japan cards, priced at US booster MSRP ¥67.16 × m 1.0–1.3. holds ex-Japan at the 48%-share point (5.22bn) while varying Japan over 40–50%, so its low corner is unreachable and its high corner sits ¥36–55bn below the coupled maximum.
The values
- At 34 yen per card: ¥507–661bn
- Envelope 32.7 to 36 yen per card: ¥493–680bn
- F D1 independent corners: ¥486–625bn
- Low corner shift: ¥7.3–20.6bn
- High corner shift: ¥35.9–55.3bn
Where it comes from
Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:
- EstimateEstimated value at list price of new Pokémon cards bought worldwide in the year to February 2026¥493–680bn
- EstimateSplits the year's roughly 10 billion cards between Japan (about 4.8 billion) and the rest of the world (about 5.2 billion), and puts TPC's Japanese card revenue at about ¥100.7bn
- ReportedWhat a single card costs at US list price in each common product
- EstimateOur estimate of what shoppers worldwide spent on new Pokémon cards in a year, at list price
- EstimatePokémon cards printed in the year to March 2026
Show the working
- total = 338.414 × share + (10.0 − 338.414 × share ÷ ¥/card) × ¥67.16 × m. share 0.50, ¥34, m 1.0: 169.2 + 5.02 × 67.16 = 506.6
- share 0.40, ¥34, m 1.3: 135.4 + 6.02 × 87.31 = 660.8
- ¥32.7 share 0.50 m 1.0: 493.3
- ¥36 share 0.40 m 1.3: 680.2
Related figures
Built from this one