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Our estimate of what shoppers worldwide spent on new Pokémon cards in a year, at list price

Year to March 2026 (年度2025e)

EstimateA model on list prices and an estimated print run. It is a scale for comparison, not a measured sales figure.

What this is

Our estimate of what shoppers worldwide spent on new Pokémon cards in a year, at list price: about ¥513–618bn in the year to March 2026, or roughly $3.4–4.1bn at ¥149.57 to the dollar. The ex-Japan part alone is $2.34–3.05bn.

How it’s built

  1. Japan: the Japanese market for Pokémon cards at list, ¥162.4bn at our central reading.
  2. Outside Japan: about 5.22 billion cards (a 10.0 billion print, of which Japan takes 48%), priced at the US booster list price of ¥67.16 a card, times 1.0–1.3 to allow for products that cost more per card than boosters.
  3. The two are added: ¥162.4bn plus ¥350.6–455.7bn.

What we assumed

  • About 10.0 billion cards were printed in the year, and Japan took 48% of them.These are our central readings of the print and Japan's share; a 9.0 or 10.9 billion print moves the ex-Japan figure by a tenth or more either way.
  • Cards outside Japan sell at 1.0–1.3 times the US booster price per card.Boosters are the cheapest way to buy a card; boxes, tins and collections cost more per card, so the multiplier only goes up from 1.0.
  • Every card is sold at list price.This measures spending at list; shops that discount or mark up shift the true figure, and resale is not included.

Sanity check

Divided by TPC's own card revenue on the same print (¥276–329bn at a 50% publisher share), the total is about 1.9 times, which means shops and distributors keep a little under half of what shoppers pay. That is in the usual range for a product sold through retail.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  • Japan list ¥ billion [point, low, high]: 162, 135, 169
  • Ex-Japan cards bn (P = 10.0, Japan 48%): 5.22
  • US booster ¥/card: 67.2
  • Ex-Japan retail ¥ billion at m 1.0-1.3: 351 to 456
  • Ex-Japan retail $ billion at ¥149.57: 2.34 to 3.05
  • World retail ¥ billion (Japan point): 513 to 618
  1. Japan list 162.4 + ex-Japan 5.22bn × ¥67.16 × m 1.0–1.3 = 350.6–455.7 → world retail ¥513.0–618.1bn
  2. ÷ publisher 276.0–328.6 = 1.86–1.88×

Where it’s used

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