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Parent non japan floor and closing scenario residual on q26 pocket, TPC year to February 2026

TPC year to February 2026

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

What this is

Re-runs (non-Japan floor/max) and (Japan bounds) with Pocket from (low 143.3, high 154.8) and Pocket's Japan share 0.38–0.42 from; other non-Japan items (GO licence, Sleep/UNITE/other, Nintendo royalty, anime) as (min 18.7, max 79.0). Japan max 422.9 (bottom-up ceiling) still binds per.

The values

  • Non Japan floor net: ¥76.9bn
  • Non Japan floor gross: ¥102bn
  • Non Japan max: ¥175bn
  • Pocket Japan share used: 0.38 to 0.42
  • Japan min: ¥206bn
  • Japan max: ¥423bn

Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  1. net 0.70 × 143.3 × (1 − 0.42) + 18.7 = 76.9
  2. gross 143.3 × 0.58 + 18.7 = 101.8
  3. max 154.8 × 0.62 + 79.0 = 175.0
  4. Japan min 531.4 − (175.0 + 100 + 50) = 206.4
  5. residual 33.7 − (187.1 − 155) = 1.6
  6. 33.7 − (142.2 − 155) = 46.5

Where it’s used

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