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Record

Card game gross margin from quarterly mix regression, Oct 2024-Mar 2026 (four quarters)

Oct 2024-Mar 2026 (four quarters)

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

This figure has been replaced. See Mix fit card game GM as UK proxy tested against registry, year to March 2024-year to March 2026.

What this is

OLS GM = 0.586 - 0.274t; t = 1 -> 0.312.

The values

  • Card game gm: 0.312
  • Non card game gm: 0.586
  • R2: 0.983
  • N: 4
  • Leave one out card game: 0.301 to 0.318
  • Range card game: 0.3 to 0.35

Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes.

Show the working
  1. t = TCG/net sales: 176.242/428.958 = 0.411
  2. 210.754/341.444 = 0.617
  3. 285.729/524.083 = 0.545
  4. 276.57/407.078 = 0.679
  5. GM 0.472/0.412/0.441/0.401
  6. OLS GM = 0.586 - 0.274t
  7. t = 1 -> 0.312
  8. Annual: 0.586 - 0.274 x 0.4712 = 0

Where it’s used

More figures on Asmodee Group →