What this is
How sealed English Pokémon booster boxes traded against US list price after release, by release era 2021–2025: boxes from 2021–22 opened at about 0.76 of list, 2023 at 0.64, 2024 at 0.67, while 2025 boxes opened at about 1.5 times list.
How it’s built
- For each set, divide its month-end market price on TCGplayer, a US card marketplace (as charted by ICv2, a trade publication), by its US list price.
- Take the middle value across sets released in each era, at release and 1, 3, 6 and 12 months later.
What we assumed
- List price is the US list price per box at the time of release.The box price rose with the 2023 pack price increase, so each set is measured against the list price that applied to it.
- A month with no chart can use the nearest month.A handful of gaps were filled from the month either side; without the fills the middle values change only slightly (for example 0.62 rather than 0.61 for 2023 sets at three months).
Sanity check
Several groups have only one to three sets, so those middles are rough. 2023 boxes stayed at about 0.6 of list for three months; 2024 boxes climbed from about 0.67 to about 1.16 of list by six months; only the 2025 sets opened above list.
Where it comes from
Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:
Show the working
- statistics.median of ratios per cohort and horizon …
- SV2023=SV,PAL,OF,PR
- SV2024=TF,TM,SC,SS
- SV2025=JT,DR). ±1-month fills included (strict media
Where it’s used
Related figures
Built from this one