How it’s built
- Took month-end market prices for booster boxes from TCGplayer’s top-25 sealed products chart, published by ICv2, a trade publication.
- Divided by the US list price: $143.64 for sets to 2022, $161.64 from the 2023 Scarlet & Violet set.
- Read each set at release and 1, 3, 6 and 12 months later.
What we assumed
- TCGplayer’s market price represents what boxes resell for.It is a marketplace price on resale, not a retail shelf price; it is the only consistent monthly series the research has.
- The two list prices apply to all sets in their period.The research dates one list price before and one after Scarlet & Violet.
- Gaps of one month are filled from the neighbouring month.A box drops off the top-25 chart in some months; seven such fills are made, and two charts are excluded for continuity problems.
Sanity check
Most sets from 2022 to 2024 resold below list within three months, many at 55–65%, so typical boxes lost value. Evolving Skies and the three most recent sets resold above list.
Where it comes from
Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:
- ReportedMsrp step dating and Q11 D2-8 restatement, 9 December 2022 to 2026
- ReportedUS booster display list price, SV era (Obsidian Flames, Aug 2023), 11 August 2023 release161.64
- EstimateData quality flag, October 2024
- EstimateData quality flag, November 2024
- EstimateSealed market price start of month|PAL|BB, November 2024$79
- EstimateSealed market price start of month|PAL|BB, March 2025$225
Show the working
- ratio = month-end Market $ …
- 130/130 matched cells identical) / list
- list $143.64 for sets released to 2022, $161.64 from SV …
Where it’s used
Related figures
Built from this one