Pallet Town Post
Sections Menu

Explore / Figure

Record

Nov2017 Mar2020 tail feasible point after USUM launch exclusion, 24 November 2017 to 31 March 2020

24 November 2017 to 31 March 2020

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

What this is

Overseas launch shipments and Pokkén DX's Sep–Nov units are also pre-window but unsized here. Direction: /D-13/D-15 residuals rise by the same amount; 's W1 ratio moves from 0.73 toward 0.79–0.95.

The values

  • Rows inside window max m: 38.1
  • Tail point feasible min m: 29.9
  • Tail point mid m: 33.1
  • Tail bounds m: 27.7 to 38.4
  • Shift against D-2 cons point m: +1.2 at least

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  1. 39.27 − 1.20 (USUM Japan 3-day sell-through 1,199,814, a floor on pre-window sell-in) = 38.07
  2. 68 − 38.07 = 29.93
  3. realistic exclusion (USUM worldwide launch shipment + Pokkén DX to 23 Nov) is several million, toward 37.4