What this is
How much of the growth in The Pokémon Company’s own game-sales counter from November 2017 to March 2020 is left unexplained after Nintendo’s tables and named extras: about 13–38 million copies, roughly 24.5 million at a central reading.
How it’s built
- Start from the growth in the company’s counter not covered by Nintendo’s million-seller rows, estimated at 27.7–38.4 million.
- Take out named items such as Pokkén DX, Detective Pikachu and 3DS releases: 0.2–12.1 million, and at least 2.5 million for Pokémon Quest on Switch.
What we assumed
- The named items’ ranges are right.Most are estimates; their ceilings drive the low end.
Sanity check
The leftover, at least 5.6 million a year, has to come from titles or counting rules the documents do not show. It is a range, not a finding about any one title.
Where it comes from
Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:
- EstimateNov2017 Mar2020 window tail half open, 24 November 2017 to 31 March 2020
- EstimateJapan units in window Nov2017 Mar2020 TPC sold, 24 November 2017 to 31 March 2020
- EstimatePaid download only VC units in window, 24 November 2017 to 31 March 2020
- ReportedUntabled post launch units recoverable, year to March 2007-year to March 2026 (plus Q1 year to March 2027 where noted)
Show the working
- point: 28.73 − 4.215 = 24.52 (U=0), 22.02 (U=2.5)
- all ceilings: 27.73 − 11.341 = 16.39 (U=0), 13.89 (U=2.5)
- two-unit 27.73 − 12.088 = 15.64 → 13.14
- 13.14/2.35 = 5.59 a year
Related figures
Built from this one