What this is
Switch UNITE at 31 Mar 2022 = Switch floor at 16 Sep 2021 (9m) + s × combined downloads added after the 22 Sep 2021 mobile launch. Room = year to March 2022 counter tail less Q112's named items at maximum less, optionally, a structural paid tail (no-launch rate 7.0 (3.7–10.7),; pre-2020 rate 12.2–16.3,).
The value
- Switch 31Mar2022 m: 9 + s × I (floor 9)
Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.
Where it comes from
Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:
- ReportedHow much TPC's cumulative game count could have grown in each year from March 2020 to March 2026, given how precisely it was printed. Some years were printed only to the nearest 10 million, so each annual rise is a range
- EstimateWindow decomposition counter rows Q112 named corrected, Nov 2017 – Mar 2026
- EstimateNo launch year rate bounds, year to March 2021, year to March 2024, year to March 2025
- EstimateCounter minus rows Nov2017 to Mar2020 (falsifier 6 test), 24 November 2017 to 31 March 2020 (28.2 months)
Show the working
- C31 = 70 − 20 × 13/127 = 67.95
- I = 67.95 − 9 = 58.95 (bounds 50−9 = 41, 70−9 = 61)
- FY3/22 room: 25.9 − 4.3 = 21.6
- 21.6 − 7.0 = 14.6
- s ≤ (14.6 − 9)/58.95 = 0.095 (/41 = 0.137)
- (21.6 − 9)/58.95 = 0.214
- (35.9 − 9)/58.95 = 0.456, /41 = 0.656
- FY3/23: ≥100 − 70 = 30 combined
- s ≤ 3.38/30 = 0.113
- ≤ 21.01/30 = 0.700
Related figures
Built from this one
- EstimateSwitch only UNITE share cap from year to March 2024+25 window (omitted window), year to March 2024+year to March 2025 (31 Mar 2023 → 31 Mar 2025)
- EstimateSwitch UNITE room recomputed on year to March 2022 basis, year to March 2023, year to March 2023
- EstimateSwitch UNITE room paid tail sensitivity (RT-m4), year to March 2022, year to March 2022, year to March 2023