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Record

PSA-graded Pokémon cards as a share of each year’s print

2021-2025 vs year to March 2022-year to March 2026 print

EstimateAn estimate on conflicting sources and a judged 2025 count; direction is solid, precise ratios are not.

What this is

PSA-graded Pokémon cards as a share of each year’s print: about 0.015% in 2021, about 0.10% in 2025, a 6–7 times rise.

How it’s built

  1. 2021: 1.4m PSA-graded ÷ 9.1bn printed.
  2. 2023: three conflicting PSA figures (4.4m, 5.8m, 6.4m) ÷ 11.9bn, giving 0.037–0.054%; none is averaged.
  3. 2025: an estimated 9.5–10.5m PSA-graded ÷ 10bn printed, about 0.10%.

What we assumed

  • PSA graded about 9.5–10.5m Pokémon cards in 2025.PSA said more than 11m trading cards, “most” Pokémon, and a rival grader is Pokémon-heavy, so PSA’s Pokémon count sits below 11m. This is a judgement.
  • Annual print is 10bn cards in the year to March 2026.Derived from rounded cumulative totals, so it carries about ±1bn error.
  • Calendar grading years are compared with April–March print years.No better-matched data exist; the overlap is nine months.

Sanity check

Part of the rise reflects PSA’s capacity growing after 2021, when output was throttled. Graded cards include old cards, so this is an intensity index, not a share of new cards sold.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  • PSA Pokémon 2021 m: 1.4
  • PSA-only 2021->2025 multiple times: 6.2 to 6.8
  • All graders 2025 Pokémon / all cards m and %: 16.1, 26.6, 60.5
  • All graders 2025 ÷ print % (2025 only, not comparable to PSA-only): 0.16
  1. 1.4/9,100 = 0.0154%
  2. 2023: 0.43 x 13.5 = 5.8m
  3. 4.4/5.8/6.4 ÷ 11,900 = 0.037/0.049/0.054%
  4. three mutually inconsistent PSA-attributed figures, none averaged (X-1, RT-F3)
  5. 2025 PSA Pokémon ≈9.5–10.5m is the red team's estimate: PS

Where it’s used

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