What this is
PSA-graded Pokémon cards as a share of each year’s print: about 0.015% in 2021, about 0.10% in 2025, a 6–7 times rise.
How it’s built
- 2021: 1.4m PSA-graded ÷ 9.1bn printed.
- 2023: three conflicting PSA figures (4.4m, 5.8m, 6.4m) ÷ 11.9bn, giving 0.037–0.054%; none is averaged.
- 2025: an estimated 9.5–10.5m PSA-graded ÷ 10bn printed, about 0.10%.
What we assumed
- PSA graded about 9.5–10.5m Pokémon cards in 2025.PSA said more than 11m trading cards, “most” Pokémon, and a rival grader is Pokémon-heavy, so PSA’s Pokémon count sits below 11m. This is a judgement.
- Annual print is 10bn cards in the year to March 2026.Derived from rounded cumulative totals, so it carries about ±1bn error.
- Calendar grading years are compared with April–March print years.No better-matched data exist; the overlap is nine months.
Sanity check
Part of the rise reflects PSA’s capacity growing after 2021, when output was throttled. Graded cards include old cards, so this is an intensity index, not a share of new cards sold.
Where it comes from
Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:
- ReportedHow many items PSA, the largest grading company, graded in 2025 and how many were trading cards11 million
- ReportedGemRate 2025 totals as re-read, 2025
- EstimatePSA’s grading capacity against demand7.5months
- EstimatePokémon cards printed in the year to March 2026
Show the working
- PSA Pokémon 2021 m: 1.4
- PSA-only 2021->2025 multiple times: 6.2 to 6.8
- All graders 2025 Pokémon / all cards m and %: 16.1, 26.6, 60.5
- All graders 2025 ÷ print % (2025 only, not comparable to PSA-only): 0.16
- 1.4/9,100 = 0.0154%
- 2023: 0.43 x 13.5 = 5.8m
- 4.4/5.8/6.4 ÷ 11,900 = 0.037/0.049/0.054%
- three mutually inconsistent PSA-attributed figures, none averaged (X-1, RT-F3)
- 2025 PSA Pokémon ≈9.5–10.5m is the red team's estimate: PS
Where it’s used
- Deep dive · Trading cardsGrading: most of the graders’ work, a sliver of the print
- Chart · Grading: most of the graders’ work, a sliver of the printPSA now grades roughly seven times as many Pokémon cards a year as in 2021
- ProfilePSA and other graders
- ProfilePokémon Trading Card Game
- ProfileCollector and resale market