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Estimated money The Pokémon Company receives from console Pokémon games, each year from 2020 to 2026. For the year to February 2026

TPC year to February 2020-year to February 2026 (year to February 2026 first)

EstimateA model on assumed royalty and margin rates. Rough.

What this is

Estimated money The Pokémon Company receives from console Pokémon games, each year from 2020 to 2026. For the year to February 2026: ¥21–45bn, or about ¥1,500–3,150 per copy.

How it’s built

  1. Overseas: Nintendo’s estimated revenue (60–80% of list) times a 10–30% royalty to the company.
  2. Japan: 50–75% of Japanese list price before tax, since the company publishes there.
  3. Moved titles that launched in March into the company’s March-to-February year; for 2026 that took Pokopia’s overseas launch out. Divided by copies: 14.28 million.

What we assumed

  • The company receives 10–30% of Nintendo’s overseas revenue.The research gives no direct evidence for this rate; it is the main uncertainty.
  • The company keeps 50–75% of Japanese list price on titles Nintendo distributes.An assumed band; no contract terms are published.
  • Only titles selling 1 million or more in a year are counted.That is all Nintendo’s table lists, so each year is a floor.
  • The one-month gap between the two companies’ years otherwise washes out.In 2026, Z-A’s March sales out and Scarlet/Violet’s March 2025 sales in were both about 0.16 million copies.

Sanity check

Per-copy receipts sit within about ¥800–3,200 in every year, which is consistent but mostly reflects the assumed rates. A disclosed royalty rate would change everything here.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  1. FY2/26: overseas list 115,719 − Pokopia 241万×$69.99×149.57 (25,229) = 90,490
  2. royalty 0.10×0.60×90,490 = 5,429 to 0.30×0.80×90,490 = 21,718
  3. Japan 0.50–0.75×31,087 = 15,544–23,315
  4. total 20,973–45,033
  5. FY2/20: PMD DX out …
  6. 36万×¥5,980 = 2,153)
  7. FY2/21: PMD DX in

Where it’s used

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