What this is
Estimated money The Pokémon Company receives from console Pokémon games, each year from 2020 to 2026. For the year to February 2026: ¥21–45bn, or about ¥1,500–3,150 per copy.
How it’s built
- Overseas: Nintendo’s estimated revenue (60–80% of list) times a 10–30% royalty to the company.
- Japan: 50–75% of Japanese list price before tax, since the company publishes there.
- Moved titles that launched in March into the company’s March-to-February year; for 2026 that took Pokopia’s overseas launch out. Divided by copies: 14.28 million.
What we assumed
- The company receives 10–30% of Nintendo’s overseas revenue.The research gives no direct evidence for this rate; it is the main uncertainty.
- The company keeps 50–75% of Japanese list price on titles Nintendo distributes.An assumed band; no contract terms are published.
- Only titles selling 1 million or more in a year are counted.That is all Nintendo’s table lists, so each year is a floor.
- The one-month gap between the two companies’ years otherwise washes out.In 2026, Z-A’s March sales out and Scarlet/Violet’s March 2025 sales in were both about 0.16 million copies.
Sanity check
Per-copy receipts sit within about ¥800–3,200 in every year, which is consistent but mostly reflects the assumed rates. A disclosed royalty rate would change everything here.
Where it comes from
Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:
- EstimateTPC console receipts coefficient union of readings, Nintendo year to March 2026 (Q23 basis)
- ReportedFiscal calendar map and discrete launch moves, TPC year to February 2020-year to February 2028
Show the working
- FY2/26: overseas list 115,719 − Pokopia 241万×$69.99×149.57 (25,229) = 90,490
- royalty 0.10×0.60×90,490 = 5,429 to 0.30×0.80×90,490 = 21,718
- Japan 0.50–0.75×31,087 = 15,544–23,315
- total 20,973–45,033
- FY2/20: PMD DX out …
- 36万×¥5,980 = 2,153)
- FY2/21: PMD DX in
Where it’s used
Related figures
Built from this one
- EstimateAn estimated range for The Pokémon Company’s revenue from games, by year to February 2020–2026
- ReportedFiscal calendar map and discrete launch moves, TPC year to February 2020-year to February 2028
- EstimateTPC console receipts per unit against per receipt case, TPC year to February 2020-year to February 2026
- EstimateTPC console receipts per switch owner by TPC fiscal year, TPC year to February 2020-year to February 2026; Winds & Waves (2027) illustration
- EstimateTail TPC receipts band by TPC fiscal year, TPC year to February 2020-year to February 2026
- EstimatePartial preview, year to February 2027, TPC year to February 2027 (Mar 2026-Feb 2027), partial