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TPC console receipts coefficient union of readings, Nintendo year to March 2026 (Q23 basis)

Nintendo year to March 2026 (Q23 basis)

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

What this is

Q23's two readings of Japan eShop booking change whose P&L the eShop copy runs through, not what reaches TPC.

The values

  • Japan receipts share of ex tax list: 0.5 to 0.75
  • Reading a: 0.5 to 0.75
  • Reading b p0.6: 0.58 to 0.73
  • Reading b p0.7: 0.56 to 0.735
  • Nintendo calendar TPC receipts, year to March 2026: ¥22,487–51,087m
  • Nintendo PnL flow ¥ million (Q23), year to March 2026: 16,269 to 51,087

Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes.

Show the working
  1. (b) TPC receipts = p×0.50–0.75 + (1−p)×0.70: p 0.6 → 0.58–0.73
  2. p 0.7 → 0.56–0.735
  3. union with (a) 0.50–0.75
  4. FY3/26: 0.10×69,432 + 0.50×31,087 = 22,487
  5. 0.30×92,575 + 0.75×31,087 = 51,087

Related figures

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