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Recycle component test rev2 (F-3) — supersedes the rejection argument of, year to March 2026, year to March 2026

Year to March 2026

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

What this is

Rev 1 rejected the FX reading because USD-only needed $7.9–20.3bn. On Dec-31 rates the euro can carry an FX recycle: the fit needs E ≈ €1.96bn, U ≈ $1.51bn and NA growth 41%/yr (R² 0.930, 8/9 signs; misses year to March 2018's sign (+365 vs −396) and nearly zeroes year to March 2021 (−2 vs −809)).

The values

  • Below parent NA $ bn: 2.8
  • Documentary: no named disposal, no 重要な後発事象, no related-party entry for ㈱ポケモン
  • Verdict: securities still preferred but on a narrower margin; F-3 stays open

Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  1. Rev 1 rejected the FX reading because USD-only needed $7.9–20.3bn
  2. On Dec-31 rates the euro can carry an FX recycle: the fit needs E ≈ €1.96bn, U ≈ $1.51bn and NA growth 41%/yr …
  3. misses FY3/18's sign (+365 vs −396) and nearly zeroes FY3/21 (−2 vs −809))
  4. It im