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Conditional distribution gross margin m d given studio margin, year to March 2024-Q1 year to year-end 2027

Year to March 2024-Q1 year to year-end 2027

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

The value

  • S from year to March 2026 m d at C EU 0.50 0.65: 0.3 to 0.42

Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes.

Show the working
  1. m_d = (GM - st x m_s - o x GM)/p
  2. FY3/26 p 0.7191, st 0.25, o 0.03, GM 0.4246: m_s 0.50 -> 0.399
  3. 0.65 -> 0.347
  4. FY3/25 p 0.6316, st 0.33, o 0.04, GM 0.4471: 0.418/0.340
  5. FY3/24 828,768/388,127/70,769 of 1,287,664 = 0.644/

Where it’s used

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