Pallet Town Post
Sections Menu
Start here How Pokémon works, in one read

The IP

The companies

The business lines

Around it

Explore / Figure

Record

Western trading cards at shop prices as a share of the $15.7bn, if the figure counts them, estimate

13–25% 2024-2025

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

The values

  • Western cards 2025 shelf $ bn: 2.05 to 3.87
  • Share of 15.7: 0.131 to 0.246
  • Western shelf ratio 2024->2025: 1.45 to 1.87
  • Share of +3.7: 0.17 to 0.49
  • Circana US Pokémon increment 1.163 / 3.7: 0.314

Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  1. 2.05/15.7 = 0.131
  2. 3.87/15.7 = 0.246
  3. Correlated corners: 2.05/1.45 = 1.414 -> inc 0.636
  4. 3.87/1.87 = 2.070 -> inc 1.800
  5. cross 2.05/1.87 -> 0.954, 3.87/1.45 -> 1.201. /3.7 = 0.17-0.49
  6. Non-card: (15.7-2.05)/(12.0-1.414)-1 = 0.289
  7. (15.7-3.87)/(12.0-2.070)-1 = 0.191
  8. 1.163/3.7 = 0.314
  9. ASSUMPTION: the shelf ratio applies to the band
  10. the LG row values cards at shelf (TPCi may instead submit MSRP or publisher value, which is unstated)

Where it’s used

Related figures

Built from this one