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Record

Japan substitution test paper against pocket, Oct 2024–Aug 2026 (Japan only)

Oct 2024–Aug 2026 (Japan only)

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

What this is

Rev 2 raises Japanese Pocket in the fade quarters but leaves the verdict unchanged. JTA can discriminate even less between its two published years (Pocket exposure Δ ≈¥5bn).

The values

  • Co movement corr Bushiroad YoY against change in Japanese Pocket (n=6): 0.92
  • JTA bound on s: 0.17 to 0.24

Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes.

Show the working
  1. s × 57.9/277.4 = 20.9s pp
  2. (57.9 − 52.6) × s/302.5 = 1.8s pp
  3. (52.6 − 19.6) × s/338.4 = 9.8s pp
  4. s = 3.5/20.9 = 0.17
  5. 5.0/20.9 = 0.24
  6. corr([27.6, 30.3, 17.6, −4.0, −19.0, −12.3], [28.9, 53.1, 10.5, −3.0, −11.4, −17.6]) = 0.92

Where it’s used

Related figures

Built from this one

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