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Estimated payments from Nintendo to The Pokémon Company for Pokémon games, by year

Year to March 2017, year to March 2022, year to March 2023, year to March 2026

EstimateA model with several unconfirmed rates. Wide range; treat as order of magnitude.

What this is

Estimated payments from Nintendo to The Pokémon Company for Pokémon games, by year: for the year to March 2026, about ¥16–51bn.

How it’s built

  1. Method (a): a 10–30% royalty on Nintendo’s estimated overseas Pokémon software revenue, plus 50–75% of Japan list-price sales: ¥22.5–51.1bn.
  2. Method (b): Japan payment on boxed copies only, with download sales passed through outside Nintendo’s accounts: ¥16.3–44.1bn plus ¥6.5–8.7bn passed through.

What we assumed

  • Nintendo pays a 10–30% royalty overseas.No rate is disclosed and the research gives no direct evidence for it; this range drives most of the spread.
  • In Japan, The Pokémon Company gets 50–75% of list price.A working assumption; the actual split is not disclosed.
  • Nintendo’s overseas Pokémon software revenue is as estimated.It is itself a model from unit sales and list prices.

Sanity check

Nintendo and The Pokémon Company disclose no payment between them. The two methods give overlapping but different ranges, so the structure is genuinely unknown.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  1. (a) as : royalty 10–30% of + 50–75% of Japan list. (b): Japan publisher payment only on package (p × list × 0.50–0.75)
  2. eShop proceeds pass to TPC as an agent remittan

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