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Record

Worldwide sellthrough minus nintendo exJP row same results set, ≈8 April 2026 vs 31 March 2026

≈8 April 2026 vs 31 March 2026

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

What this is

Same results set (S:Q178.G-1 table 8 May, S:Q178.G-3 Q&A 11 May). Sell-through <= cumulative sell-in for ex-JP (ASSUMPTION, C: holds for packaged; downloads equal).

The values

  • Ww sellthrough m: >4.0 (first 5 weeks, ≈5 March 2026..04-08)
  • Nintendo row exJP sellin m: 2.41
  • Row date: 31 March 2026
  • Raw gap m: >=1.59
  • Raw ratio ww to row: >=1.66
  • ExJP flow 31Mar 8Apr assumed m: 0 to 0.11

Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  1. JP_st = WW_st - exJP_st
  2. exJP_st <= exJP_sellin(8 Apr) <= 2.41 + 8d x 0.014 = 2.52
  3. JP >= 4.0 - 2.52 = 1.48 [>=1.0 hard, day-4]
  4. 4.0 - 2.41 = 1.59
  5. 4.0/2.41 = 1.66

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