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Japan hs950440 asia flow against q09 asia excluding korea parent envelope, 2025 (exports) vs TPC year to February 2026 (envelope)

2025 (exports) vs TPC year to February 2026 (envelope)

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

What this is

Envelope = ≈¥56.8bn parent-booked Asian editions (Q09 min corner, a = 0.3) × (1 − Korea share 0.128–0.287) per CN-266 = ¥40.5–49.5bn. Compare with 2025 six-partner FOB in yen.

The values

  • Envelope: ¥40.5–49.5bn
  • Six total 2025: ¥63bn
  • Ratio six total to envelope: 1.27 to 1.56
  • CN HK 2025: ¥48.4bn
  • Ex CN HK 2025: ¥14.6bn
  • Ratio ex CN HK to envelope: 0.3 to 0.36

Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  1. 63.03 / 49.5 = 1.27
  2. 63.03 / 40.5 = 1.56
  3. 14.64 / 49.5 = 0.30
  4. 14.64 / 40.5 = 0.36