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Events held at Pokémon Card Gym stores, Japan: 2019 against the March 2020 plan against the year to May 2026 (one basis: sanctioned gym events; events, not players), 2019; March 2020; year to May 2026

2019; March 2020; year to May 2026

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

What this is

Assumptions: months are evenly loaded, so the March 2020 plan can be set against an average month; the 2026 '年間' figure is a trailing year.

The values

  • 2019 events: 130,000
  • 2019 per month avg: 10,833
  • March 2020 planned events: 10,000
  • March 2020 plan against 2019 month avg: 0.92
  • Events, year to May 2026: 300,000
  • 2026 per month avg: 25,000

Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  1. 130,000/12 = 10,833 a month
  2. 10,000/10,833 = 0.92
  3. 300,000/12 = 25,000
  4. 25,000/10,000 = 2.5
  5. 300,000/130,000 = 2.31 (band 2.11–2.52 and 14.2%/yr recomputed 2.308^(1/6.3) − 1 …
  6. carries 14.1%)
  7. 300,000/1,800 = 167

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