What this is
Our estimate of how much of a Pokémon card's list price is kept by the shops and distributors on each route to the shelf: about 50–62% on the US hobby route, 41–62% through Excell to the big chains, 35–50% at GameStop, 45–71% through Asmodee in Europe and about 38% in Japan. On TPC's own Pokémon Center route, nothing goes to anyone else.
How it’s built
- Each route's cut is one minus the share of list that reaches the publisher, taken from our estimates of that share by route.
- Japan's figure comes from our estimates of Japanese card spending at list, about ¥162.4bn, and TPC's Japanese card revenue, about ¥100.7bn: the ¥61.7bn gap is 38% of list.
What we assumed
- The publisher's share of list on each route sits in our estimated bands.No company publishes what TPCi charges any distributor or shop; the bands rest on Alliance's old price levels, Asmodee's margin and GameStop's direct buying.
- The cut is measured at list price.Anything a shop charges above list on a scarce set is extra and is not counted here.
Sanity check
A Magic retailer's blog gives an industry-standard store margin of 45–50%, at or near the store part of the hobby band. It is a gross cut: store wages and rent come out of it.
The value
- Games: excluded: Nintendo's channel
Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.
Where it comes from
Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:
- EstimateThe estimated share of the list price The Pokémon Company receives through each Western sales channel, with a blended 35 to 59 cents per dollar38–59¢
- EstimateWestern channel margin stack per msrp dollar, year to February 2024-year to February 2026
- EstimateCard channel take at list by tier, TPC year to February 2026
Show the working
- 1 − 0.50 = 0.50 to 1 − 0.38 = 0.62 (hobby)
- 1 − 0.65 = 0.35 to 1 − 0.50 = 0.50 (GameStop direct)
- 1 − 0.59 = 0.41 to 1 − 0.38 = 0.62 (Excell route)
- 1 − 0.55 = 0.45 to 1 − 0.29 = 0.71 (Asmodee)
- Japan 1 − 100.7/162.4 = 0.38