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Circana US Pokémon toy consistency check, 2025

2025

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

What this is

ASSUMPTION: Circana's toy category includes trading cards; US share of ex-Japan card retail is not sourced.

The values

  • Circana US Pokémon toy sales 2025 $ bn: 2.5
  • Y/y %: 87
  • Ex-Japan card retail at list price $ bn (P 9.0-10.9, m 1.0-1.3): 1.89 to 3.57

Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  1. compare $2.5bn with 's $1.89-3.57bn ex-Japan (which also covers Europe, LatAm, Oceania and Asia ex-Japan)
  2. ASSUMPTION: Circana's toy category includes trading cards
  3. US share of ex-Japan card retail is not