What this is
How far above US list price sealed cards from two 2026 sets resold, at release and in late August 2026: boxes fell from 45–52% above list to 13–24%.
How it’s built
- Took resale prices reported by ICv2, a trade publication, based on eBay sales: Chaos Rising boxes $245 then $200; Pitch Black $235 then $182; Elite Trainer Boxes $90 then $67.
- Compared with US list prices: $161.64 for a 36-pack box ($4.49 a pack) and $49.99 for an Elite Trainer Box.
What we assumed
- ICv2’s rounded eBay-based prices represent the resale market.It is the only 2026 price gauge the research has. Recomputing from its rounded prices gives slightly different falls (18–26%) from ICv2’s printed 17–23%.
Sanity check
Prices were still above list in August 2026, but the premium roughly halved over the summer. Two sets and one product type are a narrow sample.
Where it comes from
Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:
- ReportedResale prices for sealed 2026 Pokémon card products on eBay, from release to late August 2026
- EstimateUS booster msrp and cards per pack, 2024–2025 (Scarlet & Violet era)
Show the working
- Booster pack list price $ (161.64/36): 4.49
- Chaos Rising display premium over list price % [release, late Aug]: 51.6 to 23.7
- Pitch Black display premium % [release, late Aug]: 45.4 to 12.6
- ETB premium % [release, late Aug]: 80 to 34
- ICv2 printed release->Aug change %: -17, -23, -23
- Recomputed from rounded prices %: -18.4, -22.6, -25.6
- Python on : 161.64/36 = 4.49
- 245/161.64−1 = 51.6%, 200/161.64−1 = 23.7%
- 235→45.4%, 182→12.6%
- ETB 90/49.99−1 = 80.0%, 67/49.99−1 = 34.0%
- ICv2 prints −17/−23/−23%
- recomputed from its rounded prices −18/−23/−26%. eBay-sales based …
Where it’s used
Related figures
Built from this one