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Record

Japan frames for the japan asia block, year to March 2024 (JTA); FY2025e (Yano); TPC year to February 2026 (P4.D-8)

Year to March 2024 (JTA); FY2025e (Yano); TPC year to February 2026 (P4.D-8)

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

What this is

Character toys 64,693 = 8.7% and plush 39,060 = 5.3% of non-card. Yano 2024 actual implied by +3.2%: 2,876.7/1.032.

The values

  • JTA noncard toy market: ¥742bn
  • Cards share of JTA toy market: 27.2%
  • Character toys share of noncard: 8.7%
  • Plush share of noncard: 5.3%
  • P4.D-8 block against JTA noncard: 36.4 to 122%
  • P4.D-8 block against Yano FY2025e: 9.4 to 31.5%

Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  1. 1,019,319-277,429=741890
  2. 64,693/741890=8.7%
  3. 907.4/741.9=122.3%