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Who books the second copy: illustrative Japan scale, SV launch November 2022; year to March 2023; year to March 2026

SV launch November 2022; year to March 2023; year to March 2026

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

What this is

Apply Sword/Shield's Japan launch-week second-copy share to Scarlet/Violet's Famitsu 3-day count at the SV single price. Set that against the C-model ranges for Nintendo's payments to TPC.

The values

  • SV Japan 3day Famitsu: 2,537,292
  • Assumed second copy share: 0.188
  • Implied second copies: 476,000
  • Retail value ¥ billion tax incl: 3.13
  • Japan seller: 販売 任天堂 (Nintendo)

Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes.

Show the working
  1. 2,537,292x0.1877=476,207
  2. 476,207x¥6,578=¥3.13bn