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Lillie SM4+ SR PSA10 drawdown population value and PRICE BASE formula check VENDOR, Jun 2023 - Nov 2026

Jun 2023 - Nov 2026

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

What this is

Drawdowns are within PRICE BASE's own page. The Oct 2026 level is unresolved within ¥2.15-2.95m (X-7), so both are shown.

The values

  • Drawdown from Jun2023 table 6.59m to Oct2026 2.15m: -67.4%
  • Drawdown from Jun2023 text high 10.5m: -79.5%
  • Implied total graded: 3,085

Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  1. 1-2.15/6.59=67.4%
  2. 1-2.15/10.5=79.5%
  3. 1-2.15/3.00=28.3%
  4. 1-2.95/3.00=1.7%
  5. 800/750-1=6.7%
  6. 1,280/998-1=28.3%
  7. 1,191/0.386=3,085
  8. 1,191 x 2,350,000 = ¥2,799m
  9. 1,191 x 2,150,000 = ¥2,561m
  10. 2,350,000/1,175,000 = 70,000/35,000 = 484,000/242,000 = 2.00