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Oci recycle scale against niantic, year to March 2026

Year to March 2026

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

What this is

An unlisted stake at cost recycles nothing. Even if a Niantic stake (≤$10m cost) had sat in a dedicated foreign vehicle that was liquidated after the sale, its translation reserve could not exceed ≈¥0.44bn (assumed ¥100/$ historical rate), 83× short.

The values

  • Recycle at 100pct: ¥36,497m
  • Max translation reserve on 10m $ stake: ¥441m
  • Ratio: 83
  • Foreign net assets implied $ billion at 40yen move: 0.91

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  1. 11,679/0.32 = 36,497
  2. $10m × (144.09 − 100) = ¥441m
  3. 36,497/441 = 83×
  4. 36,497/40 = $0.91bn

Where it’s used

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