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Nintendo receipt gm sensitivity c q41 10, TPC year to February 2024 scale; Nintendo year to March 2026 bands

TPC year to February 2024 scale; Nintendo year to March 2026 bands

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

What this is

GM_ex = (GP − R)/(Rev − R) at year to February 2024 (152,203; 297,508); slope 10×(1−0.5116)/297.5; drift 1.42–1.73pp ÷ 0.164pp per bn.

The values

  • GM pp per 10bn zero cost receipt at year to February 2024 scale: 1.64
  • Pre pocket GM drift equivalent receipt rise ¥ billion per yr: 8.7 to 10.5
  • Purchase flow year to March 2026 scenario: ¥1.3–13.9bn

Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes.

Show the working
  1. (152.2−16.3)/(297.5−16.3)=48.3%
  2. (152.2−51.1)/(297.5−51.1)=41.0%
  3. 10×0.4884/297.5=1.64pp