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Record

What US hobby stores pay for Pokémon products as a share of list price

2016-17; 2019; 2024; 2025 (year to February 2018, year to February 2025, year to February 2026 windows)

EstimateAn estimate from forum and blog reports. Weak evidence, though consistent.

What this is

What US hobby stores pay for Pokémon products as a share of list price: usually about half, but in the 2025 shortage, at or above list price.

How it’s built

  1. Collect store costs reported on forums, blogs and Reddit, and a distributor's discount terms.
  2. Divide each by the US list price at that date: $143.64 a box before 2023, $161.64 after. Normal supply gives 0.50–0.56; hot 2025 products 0.99–2.0.

What we assumed

  • Forum and blog reports of store costs are roughly right.No distributor or Pokémon price list was found. Several separate reports land in the same 0.49–0.56 range.
  • A general distributor's 40–50% discount levels apply to Pokémon.The distributor's terms do not name Pokémon; they are used as a general guide to hobby-trade discounts.

Sanity check

Store cost is only an upper limit on what The Pokémon Company receives; distributors take a cut. In the 2025 shortage store costs were above list price, so the limit stopped applying.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  • 2016-17 booster box, $72-80 against $143.64 (pre-SV $3.99 pack): 0.5 to 0.56
  • 2016-17 typical business $76-79: 0.53 to 0.55
  • 2019 box ~$70 against $143.64: 0.49
  • Summer 2024 Twilight Masquerade box $90 against $161.64: 0.557
  • Magic retail-margin norm 45-50% (Wizards of the Coast comp): 0.5 to 0.55
  • Normal-supply band used as ceiling on s (hobby route): 0.5 to 0.56
  1. 72/143.64 = 0.501
  2. 80/143.64 = 0.557
  3. 76/143.64 = 0.529
  4. 79/143.64 = 0.550
  5. 70/143.64 = 0.487
  6. 90/161.64 = 0.557
  7. 85/161.64 = 0.526
  8. 80/161.64 = 0.495
  9. 2.35/4.49 = 0.523
  10. 35/49.99 = 0.70

Where it’s used

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