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How precisely to read The Pokémon Company's round card totals of 'over 75 billion' (2025) and 'over 85 billion' (2026)

Mar 2025, Mar 2026

EstimateA judgement on indirect evidence. Plausible, not proven.

What this is

How precisely to read The Pokémon Company's round card totals of 'over 75 billion' (2025) and 'over 85 billion' (2026): the research judges them rounded down to the whole billion.

How it’s built

  1. The seven earlier totals were all given to 0.1bn and none was round. Two round totals in a row would be a 1-in-2,500 chance at that precision.
  2. In the same 2025 update the company rounded other counts down to the nearest ten (93 to 'over 90'), and the English page dropped its decimal.

What we assumed

  • One rounding rule applies across the whole page.The other counters changed to tens-floors in the same update, which is the best available evidence, but the card counter's own rule is never stated.

Sanity check

A coarser reading (to 5 billion) is possible but has no match elsewhere on the page. The choice matters: it sets the ±1bn uncertainty on each recent year's card output.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes.

Show the working
  • Judgement: 10億 (1bn) floor
  • Confidence in judgement: C
  1. Seven consecutive pre-2025 values are non-round at 1億 (215, 236, 304, 341, 432, 529, 648)
  2. In the Mar-2025 update TPC turned exact counters into floors to the tens digit …

Where it’s used

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