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What card output for the years to March 2025 and 2026 would be if The Pokémon Company really had stated 10.2 billion for 2025

Year to March 2025-year to March 2026

EstimateA conditional estimate, resting on an unproven claim.

What this is

What card output for the years to March 2025 and 2026 would be if The Pokémon Company really had stated 10.2 billion for 2025: 10.2bn, then 9.85–11.0bn.

How it’s built

  1. If 10.2bn is the company's own figure, the March 2025 total must be 75.0–75.15bn.
  2. Subtracting that from the March 2026 total gives 9.85–11.0bn for the year to March 2026, a change of −3% to +8%.

What we assumed

  • The company stated 10.2bn for the year to March 2025.Only a press outlet claims this; the research could not find it on any company page and does not adopt it.
  • 'Over 85 billion' is rounded down to the whole billion.Based on how the company rounded other figures in the same update.

Sanity check

This is a 'what if' kept for testing. The main reading leaves the year to March 2025 as a 10.1–11.2bn range.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes.

Show the working
  • Bn, year to March 2025: 10.2
  • Implied Mar2025 cumulative bn: 75 to 75.2
  • Bn, year to March 2026: 9.85 to 11
  • Two year bn: 20.1 to 21.2
  1. if annual true in [10.15, 10.25) and Mar 2024 true in [64.8, 64.9), Mar 2025 in [74.95, 75.15) intersected with the 750 floor [75.0, 76.0) = [75.0, 75.15)
  2. FY3/26 = V26 - V