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How much of the gap between two vendors' 2025 sales figures for pokemoncenter.com different definitions could explain

1.3 2025

EstimateOur bounding arithmetic on vendor definitions; the conclusion is robust, the inputs assumed.

What this is

How much of the gap between two vendors' 2025 sales figures for pokemoncenter.com different definitions could explain: at most 1.32 times, leaving 1.99 times of a 2.632-times gap unexplained.

How it’s built

  1. ECDB reports only 'GMV' with no stated treatment of tax, shipping or returns; Grips excludes returns, subscriptions and app sales.
  2. Assume, in ECDB's favour, that it includes sales tax of about 8%, shipping of about 10% and returns of about 10%: (1.08 × 1.10) ÷ 0.90 = 1.32.
  3. 2.632 ÷ 1.32 = 1.99 remains.

What we assumed

  • Tax of about 8%, shipping of about 10% and returns of about 10%, all counted by ECDB and none by Grips.Deliberately generous to a definitional explanation; neither vendor states these.
  • App sales do not matter.No evidence was found of a material Pokémon Center app channel; this is a gap.

Sanity check

Definitions cannot plausibly explain a 2.6-times gap, so the difference lies in how each vendor measures or models sales.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  • Tax uplift: 1.08
  • Shipping uplift: 1.1
  • Returns share: 0.1
  • Max definitional ratio: 1.32
  • Unexplained residual ratio: 1.99
  1. Grips excludes returns, subscriptions, app sales
  2. own checkout only
  3. silent on tax/shipping
  4. ECDB says only 'GMV', 1P 100%, no tax/shipping/return

Where it’s used