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Launch figure against later quarter end row NULL TEST, 22 October 2025 vs 31 December 2025

22 October 2025 vs 31 December 2025

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

What this is

NULL TEST - uninformative: timing. TPC launch-window figure vs Nintendo row 23-70 days later; QE row is only an upper bound on Nintendo's count at the TPC date, so the sign test excludes no counting factor k.

The values

  • TPC m: 5.8
  • TPC date: 22 October 2025
  • Nintendo qe m: 12.3
  • Nintendo qe: 31 December 2025
  • Raw diff m: -6.5
  • Label: uninformative: timing

Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  1. 5.8 - 12.3 = -6.5m
  2. not a basis test (timing)