What this is
How much of English Pokémon card-set lists is 'secret' cards numbered beyond the set total: 2.15% for sets from 1999 to 2017, 16.1% for regular sets 2018–2026 and 28.49% for special sets.
How it’s built
- Took printed and secret card counts for every English set from Bulbapedia, a fan encyclopedia.
- Pooled by period and type: before 2018, 190 secret against 8,663 printed; regular sets 2018–2026, 1,178 against 6,141; special sets, 559 against 1,403.
- Repeated with numbered subsets (such as Trainer Gallery) counted as chase cards: 4.21%, 17.45% and 38.28%.
What we assumed
- Bulbapedia's counts are right.A fan source, but set totals are printed on the cards and widely published.
- Secret cards stand for the rare 'chase' layer.The base case; subsets are added as a sensitivity because they are rare pulls too.
Sanity check
Regular sets climbed in steps: 2.14% before 2018, 9.61% in 2018–2022, 25.31% in 2023–2026. Two 2026 sets have secret counts still to be announced.
Where it comes from
Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:
Show the working
- pre-2018 all: 190/(8663+190) = 2.15%
- with all subsets (190+191)/(8663+190+191) = 4.21%
- 2018-26 main: 1178/(6141+1178) = 16.10% (17.45% with 120 Trainer Gallery)
- 2018-26 special: 559/(1403+559) = 28.49% (38.28% with 311 subset cards)