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Order of magnitude verdict Charizard over Pikachu 1st Ed Base PSA10, Dec 2025 - Feb 2026

Dec 2025 - Feb 2026

ReportedReported by a reliable secondary source, or read carefully from filed documents.

What this is

Replaces (127.8x, vendor aggregate) and the RT-4-based 120.8x for prose. 'Two orders of magnitude' overstates the gap by ~2-2.5x; 'about forty to fifty times' is supported.

The values

  • Range times: 40.7 to 52.2
  • Log10 range: 1.62 to 1.69
  • Wording: tens of times (about 40-50x), not two orders of magnitude

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  1. matched-month ratios 41.8x (Dec 2025) and 48.5x (Feb 2026)
  2. ±1-month 40.7x and 52.2x
  3. log10 = 1.62 to 1.69, i.e. about 1.6-1.7 orders of magnitude, not 2
  4. 100x would need a Pikachu near 9,548 (Feb) or 5,500 (Dec)
  5. robust to BP treatment: 40x-58x whether or not a 20% Goldin BP or PSA-row BP is assumed (red team Q167)