What this is
Place each Q112 recoverable item and ceiling only in windows its dates allow: pool A (3DS catalogue year to March 2018–26) anywhere; SwSh 2.89 year to March 2023–26 (0.44 in year to March 2026); Let's Go post-year to March 2022, BDSP ≤1.00 by Mar-2023 then ≤3.45, Arceus post-year to March 2023; Pokopia Japan and FRLG year to March 2026 only.
Where it comes from
Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:
- EstimateMillion seller floor and named tail by window, Nintendo year to March 2021-year to March 2026 windows (TPC counter at 31 March)
- ReportedUntabled post launch units recoverable, year to March 2007-year to March 2026 (plus Q1 year to March 2027 where noted)
- FiledCeilings from top10 cuts, as of 30 September 2016, 31 March 2026, 30 June 2026
- FiledSales units (global 4 days; of which Japan, package+download), 5 March 2026 to 03-08220 to 100 10,000 units
- FiledSellthrough units first6weeks, first six weeks after 27 February 2026 release (lower bound: "exceeding 4 million")4,000,000 units
Show the working
- pool A = X/Y 0.69 + ORAS 0.94 + Sun/Moon 0.90 + USUM 1.77 = 4.30
- D-8 ceilings = 4.57 + 4.45 + 4.27 = 13.29
- named = 4.30 + SwSh 2.89 + 13.29 + Pokopia JP 1.5 + FRLG 4.0 = 25.98
- 62.2 − 25.98 = 36.22
- FY3/21+22: 32.86 − 4.30 = 28.56 (31.86 − 4.30 = 27.56 at lower bound)
- FY3/23–26 tails 15.7 + 4.31 + 9.31 = 29.3 (rounded) − (13.29 + 2.89 + 1.5 + 4.0 = 21.68) = 7.62
- FY3/23: 15.7 − (1.00 + 2.45 + 4.57 + 4.30) = 3.38
- FY3/26: 9.31 − 1.0 − 4.0 − 0.44 = 3.87
Related figures
Built from this one