What this is
Re-run 's year to February 2022 formula with the 25.9m tail reduced by the ≥9m Switch-only UNITE count, on the condition that those downloads sit inside the counter and earn nothing per unit. Conditional sensitivity, not a revision: inclusion is admissible but unproven.
The value
- Q89 band year to February 2022: 6.5 to 35.9
Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.
Where it comes from
Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:
- EstimateTail TPC receipts band by TPC fiscal year, TPC year to February 2020-year to February 2026
- ReportedCumulative downloads, Nintendo Switch only (before mobile launch), 21 July 2021 launch to 16 September 20219 million (exceeded)
- ReportedA test of whether TPC's cumulative game count includes free-to-play downloads at full scale
Show the working
- 0.25 × ¥1,007 × 16.9m = 4.3
- 0.6 × ¥2,309 × 16.9m = 23.4
- 6.52 − 4.25 = 2.27 ≈ 2.3
- 35.9 − 23.4 = 12.5