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First-generation cohort arithmetic against measured age peaks, 1996-2026

1996-2026

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

What this is

Birth-year arithmetic for the 1996 cohort set beside vendor age snapshots (different vendors and bases; a cross-section, not a series).

The values

  • Red/Green JP release: February 1996
  • Children 6 to 12 in 1996 born: 1983-1990
  • Their age in 2026: 35-43

Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes.

Show the working
  1. 1996 − 12 = 1984 (rounded to 1983 for a Feb release), 1996 − 6 = 1990
  2. 2026 − 1990 = 36, 2026 − 1983 = 43
  3. 42% + 26% = 68%