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Test b period basis mapping, year to March 2017

Year to March 2017

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

What this is

Q1 36/0.32=112 bounds any pre-GO month; Q4 3490/0.32=10906 bounds Jan–Mar 2017 at 100%, so even if all of Q4 fell in March 2017 the shift is ≤10.9bn < 21.3bn. A switch from a longer lag to a 1-month lag or 仮決算 adds pre-GO months worth ≈0 (Q1 ¥36m).

The values

  • Verdict: FAILS as a period shift
  • Needed 100pct shift: 21,302
  • Max from Mar 2016: 112
  • Max from Mar 2017 le Q4 total: 10,906
  • Lag bound months: 1
  • H1 implied TPC profit: 37,462

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  1. a Feb↔Mar remap moves only Mar-2016 (≈¥0.1bn) and Mar-2017 (≤¥10.9bn)
  2. ¥21.3bn needed

Where it’s used

More figures on Nintendo →