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Record

Test a first avenue 55% profit pre sale, year to March 2017

Year to March 2017

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

What this is

F1=6804/(0.55-0.32)=29581; T=42045-200-29581=12264 < parent 15,921 (TPC subsidiaries would have to lose ¥3.7bn in the GO year). H1 'mainly TPC' contradicts a FA-driven Q2.

The values

  • Verdict: FAILS
  • Required FA net profit Apr Aug 2016: 29,581
  • Implied TPC net profit: 12,264
  • TPC parent net profit: 15,921
  • Q1 pickup implied if 3of5 in Q1: 9,762
  • Q1 pickup reported: 36

Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes:

Show the working
  1. (a) needs FA +¥29.6bn in Apr–Aug 2016 at 55%
  2. Q1 would show ≈¥9.8bn, not ¥36m

Where it’s used

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