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Survivor S1 first avenue loss in table not in pickup, year to March 2017 (First Avenue FY unknown)

Year to March 2017 (First Avenue FY unknown)

EstimateOur model or estimate. Treat it as an order of magnitude.

What this is

FA NA would have to swing from ≈+13.3bn to ≈−21.7bn (−35.0bn: −25.3bn loss, −9.7bn distributions) in one year — a ≈$240m loss at the Mariners LLLP. year to March 2026: residual 1,148 = −0.32F (floored) or −0.22F, i.e. a 3.7–5.3bn FA loss.

The values

  • FA NA open implied: 13,264
  • Required one year swing: -34,987
  • Of which distributions: -9,684
  • Residual implies FA net profit, year to March 2026: -3,664 to -5,330

Some detail is too fine to show here; it is kept in the trainer’s notes.

Where it comes from

Our calculation from other figures in the trainer’s notes.

Show the working
  1. FA (100%) loses ≈¥21–25bn, NA ≈ −¥21–22bn
  2. Nintendo's 10% share floored at its carrying